Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.460614 1.580335 1.706868 1.850847 2.010479 2.182427 2.382163
2025-12-28 1.278395 1.443259 1.627142 1.848529 2.109271 2.408360 2.779925
2026-01-04 1.168764 1.361436 1.585112 1.866196 2.213122 2.631418 3.180244
2026-01-11 1.090252 1.302264 1.556485 1.887401 2.312132 2.846434 3.581540
2026-01-18 1.026826 1.252715 1.531111 1.904626 2.400673 3.048582 3.978982
2026-01-25 0.968520 1.203201 1.499360 1.907334 2.465725 3.220033 4.346287
2026-02-01 0.902356 1.137962 1.441200 1.868296 2.468018 3.301950 4.590185
2026-02-08 0.849661 1.086318 1.396466 1.842362 2.483657 3.400137 4.862803
2026-02-15 0.808281 1.046816 1.364796 1.830966 2.516991 3.523738 5.182709
2026-02-22 0.787463 1.033590 1.367572 1.867354 2.620970 3.758786 5.700054
2026-03-01 0.753371 0.999839 1.339250 1.855944 2.651225 3.881370 6.044064
2026-03-08 0.717986 0.962295 1.303184 1.830184 2.656539 3.963308 6.325218
2026-03-15 0.673608 0.910437 1.244636 1.768205 2.602524 3.947645 6.439128
2026-03-22 0.651714 0.889931 1.230761 1.773524 2.655902 4.113319 6.897653
2026-03-29 0.634990 0.876015 1.225659 1.791714 2.730831 4.320876 7.457724
2026-04-05 0.620050 0.863888 1.222372 1.812125 2.810243 4.542165 8.070743
2026-04-12 0.605135 0.850995 1.217052 1.828538 2.883408 4.757816 8.699225
2026-04-19 0.587898 0.833736 1.203975 1.831121 2.932137 4.932033 9.263539
2026-04-26 0.562617 0.803074 1.168430 1.794035 2.907497 4.965317 9.528397
2026-05-03 0.541741 0.778388 1.141212 1.769392 2.903300 5.036795 9.885435
2026-05-10 0.525127 0.759695 1.122721 1.758562 2.923415 5.157089 10.368556
2026-05-17 0.519025 0.757259 1.130284 1.793140 3.030295 5.460308 11.324126
2026-05-24 0.503952 0.739941 1.112690 1.782298 3.049797 5.585515 11.865765